 | By Cash Heilman Sports.ws Analyst |
Cash Heilman's Center Predictions, 2004-2005
1. Tim Duncan, San Antonio
With all the trades going on in the off-season, San Antonio is once again the best team in the
NBA, no offense to Detroit. Duncan is coming into the prime of his career and will continue to be the
best player on the best team. With Shaq in the East, he'll have an easier time dominating the West.
Duncan will be good for 24 and 12 this season.
| FPPG (NBA
Rank) | FPPM (NBA
Rank) | Games | Min/Game |
| 2003-2004 Season |
38.7 (3) |
1.06 (2) |
69 |
36 |
2001-2004 Seasons |
40.4 (2) |
1.04 (3) |
232 |
38 |
|
2. Shaquille O'neal, Miami
He's in Miami and he's mad. He wants to prove that he was under-appreciated in L.A. He'll be
back with a vengeance to prove he's still the man. He's in the Eastern Conference where centers wouldn't
start on the local AAU team. He won't get beat up every night like he did in the tougher Western
Conference. Expect Shaq, if he stays healthy, to have a monster season.
| FPPG (NBA
Rank) | FPPM (NBA
Rank) | Games | Min/Game |
| 2003-2004 Season |
36.0 (4) |
0.98 (6) |
67 |
36 |
2001-2004 Seasons |
39.3 (4) |
1.07 (1) |
200 |
36 |
|
3. Jermaine O'neal, Indiana
Young and improving every season. He's becoming one of the NBA elite. With great centers so hard
to come by, it'll be hard to let this guy slip too far in the draft. Get him while you can. His numbers
are going to continue to improve. He wants to be the go-to guy, the man with the ball in his hands. He
will continue to flourish.
| FPPG (NBA
Rank) | FPPM (NBA
Rank) | Games | Min/Game |
| 2003-2004 Season |
33.1 (10) |
0.93 (8) |
78 |
35 |
2001-2004 Seasons |
32.8 (11) |
0.90 (9) |
225 |
36 |
|
4. Elton Brand, LA Clippers
Brand is becoming one of the elite big men in the NBA. Has missed a few games over the past
couple of years, but when healthy, he is a top 10 PPG player. As he gets more comfortable with an
improving Clippers team, look for continued development and production.
| FPPG (NBA
Rank) | FPPM (NBA
Rank) | Games | Min/Game |
| 2003-2004 Season |
33.8 (9) |
0.87 (14) |
69 |
38 |
2001-2004 Seasons |
33.3 (10) |
0.86 (13) |
210 |
38 |
|
5. Yao Ming, Houston
Always a solid PPM guy, and that's the name of the game. Now paired with a superstar in McGrady
and we have our next version of Shaq/Kobe minus the drama. If McGrady learns that the big man can help
him, Yao's numbers should improve. Marked improvement every year as he now is familiar with Jeff Van
Gundy and more comfortable in the U.S.
| FPPG (NBA
Rank) | FPPM (NBA
Rank) | Games | Min/Game |
| 2003-2004 Season |
27.6 (34) |
0.84 (20) |
82 |
32 |
2001-2004 Seasons |
25.5 (46) |
0.83 (17) |
163 |
30 |
|
6. Amare Stoudemire, Phoenix
This guy is exciting to watch. Very productive in the paint. High PPM is what helps his ranking
stay ahead of an up and comer like Randolph. His PPG may actually rise with the departure of Marbury and
the addition of a better passer in Nash, although Quentin Richardson will need his touches too. Don't let
him slip too far -- he has the potential to explode.
| FPPG (NBA
Rank) | FPPM (NBA
Rank) | Games | Min/Game |
| 2003-2004 Season |
30.5 (20) |
0.83 (21) |
55 |
36 |
2001-2004 Seasons |
25.8 (43) |
0.77 (38) |
136 |
33 |
|
7. Zach Randolph, Portland
Portland is unstable and hard to predict. They are always better on paper than in reality. If
they realize that Randolph is their superstar, then they have a foundation to build on. Randolph really
came into his own last year and there's no reason to think his productions won't continue to rise. Unless
there's more drama in Portland, Randolph is a keeper.
| FPPG (NBA
Rank) | FPPM (NBA
Rank) | Games | Min/Game |
| 2003-2004 Season |
30.8 (18) |
0.81 (32) |
81 |
37 |
2001-2004 Seasons |
22.2 (74) |
0.81 (24) |
157 |
27 |
|
8. Brad Miller, Sacramento
The rankings at center begin to drop off here. Improved his numbers last year in Sacramento and
showed the type of player he can really be. A hard worker and excellent passer for a big man. Numbers
should stay similar to last year, although they took a dip when Webber returned last season. Higher PPG,
but lower PPM than Ilgauskas, not to mention he'll stay healthier.
| FPPG (NBA
Rank) | FPPM (NBA
Rank) | Games | Min/Game |
| 2003-2004 Season |
28.7 (26) |
0.79 (46) |
72 |
36 |
2001-2004 Seasons |
25.3 (49) |
0.78 (33) |
221 |
32 |
|
9. Zydrunas Ilgauskas, Cleveland
Always a high PPM guy. He's always shown flashes of greatness, but never sustains it on a night
to night basis. Having LeBron on his team helps as LeBron will draw lots of defensive attention and is an
excellent passer. The offense will go through LeBron, but Ilgauskas is too good not to get his
touches.
| FPPG (NBA
Rank) | FPPM (NBA
Rank) | Games | Min/Game |
| 2003-2004 Season |
25.6 (48) |
0.82 (28) |
81 |
31 |
2001-2004 Seasons |
23.6 (59) |
0.84 (15) |
223 |
28 |
|
10. Erick Dampier, Golden State
Led the league in offensive rebounds last season. With PPM being king, this guy is a solid
fantasy center. He works hard and is a legitimate big man. If he gets traded to Dallas, he'll fill a
hole there, but his numbers will decline because the only way he'll touch the ball is if he gets a
rebound.
| FPPG (NBA
Rank) | FPPM (NBA
Rank) | Games | Min/Game |
| 2003-2004 Season |
25.6 (48) |
0.79 (46) |
74 |
32 |
2001-2004 Seasons |
18.7 (117) |
0.70 (86) |
228 |
26 |
|
11. Ben Wallace, Detroit
Coming off a trip to the all-star game and an NBA title, Wallace is a force. He's tough, he's
durable, and he can rebound. Continuing to improve his shot. Numbers are fairly stable over the past few
years. With Wallace you know what you're getting. He'll play every game and he'll be a solid fantasy
player.
| FPPG (NBA
Rank) | FPPM (NBA
Rank) | Games | Min/Game |
| 2003-2004 Season |
26.8 (40) |
0.71 (98) |
81 |
37 |
2001-2004 Seasons |
26.7 (35) |
0.71 (77) |
235 |
37 |
|
12. Jamaal Magloire, New Orleans
Showing improvement every year in becoming a solid young big man. As a young player he's only
going to get better, and with a star in Baron Davis and a strong core along side him, the Hornets should
be solid. Magloire will minimally repeat last year's production, but he has the potential for further
growth and improvement.
| FPPG (NBA
Rank) | FPPM (NBA
Rank) | Games | Min/Game |
| 2003-2004 Season |
24.2 (63) |
0.71 (98) |
82 |
33 |
2001-2004 Seasons |
19.5 (103) |
0.71 (77) |
245 |
27 |
|
13. Marcus Camby, Denver
Denver is one of the most improved teams in the league over the last year, and now with the
addition of K-Mart, they'll be even better. With a solid core, Camby will continue to put up solid
numbers in a high powered offense. Every year it seems like this guy is going to fall by the wayside, and
every year he puts up respectable fantasy numbers.
| FPPG (NBA
Rank) | FPPM (NBA
Rank) | Games | Min/Game |
| 2003-2004 Season |
22.9 (71) |
0.76 (62) |
72 |
30 |
2001-2004 Seasons |
22.1 (77) |
0.75 (57) |
127 |
29 |
|
14. Emeka Okafor, Charlotte Bobcats
This rookie will get the chance to start and put up numbers right from the start. He'll be a
reliable fantasy player as long as he stays healthy, a problem that plagued him in college. As with most
rookies his PPG will be higher than his PPM, but he'll get so many minutes with Charlotte that he'll be
worth having on your team.
| FPPG (NBA
Rank) | FPPM (NBA
Rank) | Games | Min/Game |
| 2003-2004 Season |
0.0 (N/A) |
0.00 (N/A) |
0 |
0 |
2001-2004 Seasons |
0.0 (N/A) |
0.00 (N/A) |
0 |
0 |
|
15. Kurt Thomas, New York
Amid all the big changes in NY, someone still needs to hold it down in the paint. They may have a
crowded backcourt, but Thomas will still produce in the frontcourt. They have some young guys who will
get minutes, but Thomas is a veteran who can score and rebound.
| FPPG (NBA
Rank) | FPPM (NBA
Rank) | Games | Min/Game |
| 2003-2004 Season |
21.2 (79) |
0.67 (147) |
80 |
31 |
2001-2004 Seasons |
23.1 (64) |
0.71 (77) |
243 |
32 |
|
16. Eddy Curry, Chicago
Chicago added some more young, talented players. They will continue to struggle because of their
youth. In the middle, though, Curry still has the makings of a star. If he can shed some pounds and
continue to work hard, Curry has the ability to be one of the best big men in the East. He's a risky
pick. He could explode into a star, or he could totally tank and find a seat on the bench behind
Chandler, Davis, Mutombo, and Harrington.
| FPPG (NBA
Rank) | FPPM (NBA
Rank) | Games | Min/Game |
| 2003-2004 Season |
20.8 (88) |
0.70 (109) |
73 |
29 |
2001-2004 Seasons |
15.4 (156) |
0.72 (72) |
226 |
21 |
|
17. Vlade Divac, LA Lakers
Guess what? The Lakers don't have a big man. Vlade is a crafty veteran who will likely split
time with Mihm and Grant. He'll be a solid PPM player, it will just depend on how many minutes he gets on
the revamped Lakers. This will be an athletic team with Bryant, Odom, and Butler, so Vlade's lack of
athleticism may find him watching more than he'd like.
| FPPG (NBA
Rank) | FPPM (NBA
Rank) | Games | Min/Game |
| 2003-2004 Season |
20.3 (92) |
0.71 (98) |
81 |
28 |
2001-2004 Seasons |
21.5 (81) |
0.73 (66) |
240 |
29 |
|
18. Kwame Brown, Washington
Ok, we're starting to stretch here. Quite honestly you can pick up a much better player that's a
CF listed in the forwards list. Brown is only 22 years old and getting better every year. He now has
Antawn Jamison in town and Etan Thomas just got a huge contract (which nobody in their right mind can
figure out why). He's still too talented to keep off the court.
| FPPG (NBA
Rank) | FPPM (NBA
Rank) | Games | Min/Game |
| 2003-2004 Season |
19.5 (97) |
0.65 (183) |
74 |
30 |
2001-2004 Seasons |
14.3 (175) |
0.63 (177) |
210 |
22 |
|
19. Mehmet Okur, Utah
May not start there if Boozer does, but a big contract is going to put him on the court. He's got
lots of potential, and the Jazz are hoping he can solidify the middle with Boozer. This could be a very
good team this year, and Okur has a chance to take a big jump in fantasy production.
| FPPG (NBA
Rank) | FPPM (NBA
Rank) | Games | Min/Game |
| 2003-2004 Season |
16.4 (133) |
0.74 (71) |
71 |
22 |
2001-2004 Seasons |
14.3 (175) |
0.70 (86) |
142 |
20 |
|
20. Michael Olowokandi, Minnesota
When healthy, he gives Minnesota a legitimate center. Minnesota is an unselfish team, so Kandi
man will get his touches, but primarily he'll be valuable as a rebounder and shot blocker.
| FPPG (NBA
Rank) | FPPM (NBA
Rank) | Games | Min/Game |
| 2003-2004 Season |
13.4 (180) |
0.63 (199) |
43 |
21 |
2001-2004 Seasons |
19.3 (107) |
0.63 (177) |
159 |
30 |
|
Best of the rest: Raef LaFrentz, Rasho Nesterovic, Theo Ratliff, Tyson Chandler, Etan
Thomas, Brian Grant.
8-27-2004 at 9:53am
Nice